2022年8月24日水曜日

Pascal's Wager - Are Humans Causing Climate Change?

This summer, the effects of the heat wave are said to be severe in Europe. There is an impression that bootstrap changes (global warming) have intensified in this century. But is human activity the cause of climate change? Some say that it is. Some people say that humans are not the cause of climate change because of the problem of securing incentives for environmental issues. There is a story called "Pascal's Wager. This is a concept said to have been proposed by the mathematician Pascal and has to do with whether or not one believes in God. The simple answer is: "Yes. Simply put, it goes like this. If you believe in God and there is no God, you have little to lose. But if there is a God, you have a great deal to gain by acting in a way that God is present. This applies to environmental issues as well. Even if we believe and act on the belief that humans are the cause of climate change, and even if humans are not actually the cause of climate change, we have little to lose. In fact, if humans are the cause of climate change, we have very much to gain (and avoid catastrophic losses) through future generations. Since humans cannot fully predict the future of the planet, they must accept the asymmetry of their own knowledge. The implications of "Pascal's Wager" for global environmental issues may be significant.

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