The Tide of the Speed of the Intelligence Explosion - A Turning Point to an Accelerating Future (2025)

The Tide of the Speed of the Intelligence Explosion - A Turning Point to an Accelerating Future (2025)
The concept of the "intelligence explosion" is that as AI repeatedly improves itself, its performance will rapidly increase, potentially surpassing human intelligence in a short period of time. This is not merely cumulative progress, but refers to a future in which AI will be able to improve itself through a cycle of self-improvement, resulting in an exponentially accelerated improvement in its capabilities. This "intelligence explosion," proposed by mathematician I.J. Good, is strongly linked to the technological singularity or singularity, and includes the hypothesis that AI's self-improvement loop will result in the emergence of superhuman intelligence in a short time. Such a rapid rate could be beyond human control and prediction, and could be a tipping point that fundamentally changes the scientific, technological, and social structures of the future.
This speed issue is closely related to the debate on the safety and regulation of AI. The latest AI research focuses on whether general-purpose artificial intelligence (AGI), the starting point for self-improvement, has the ability to outperform humans and whether there is a self-enhancing loop beyond it. Experts are divided in their opinions, and while it is difficult to predict when and how this intelligence explosion will occur, the rate of development of AI technology itself is considered an important factor in determining policy, ethics, and the future of the economy. Previous theories about trends in AI evolution and the technological singularity form the core of these speed issues.